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Empirical macromodels under test : a comparative simulation study of the employment effects of a revenue neutral cut in social security contributions
Buscher, Herbert S.; Buslei, Hermann; Göggelmann, Klaus; … - 1998 - Preliminary version
In the paper we simulate a revenue-neutral cut in the social security contribution rate using five different types of macro- / microeconomic models, namely two models based on time-series data where the labour market is modelled basically demand oriented, two models of the class of computable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442295
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Lasso-type and heuristic strategies in model selection and forecasting
Savin, Ivan; Winker, Peter - 2012
. The two strategies are compared by means of a Monte-Carlo simulation study together with an empirical application to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630302
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Quasi-Monte Carlo methods in stochastic simulations : an application to fiscal policy simulations using an aggregate disequilibrium model of the West German economy 1960-1994
Franz, Wolfgang; Göggelmann, Klaus; Schellhorn, Martin; … - 1998
Different stochastic simulation methods are used in order to check the robustness of the outcome of policy simulations … possible margin. Because of nonlinearities confidence intervals for the simulation results have to be obtained by means of … stochastic simulations. The main contribution of this paper consists in presenting the simulation results. The robustness of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441040
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Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods in Stochastic Simulations : An Application to Policy Simulations Using a Disequilibrium Model of the West German Economy 1960-1994
Franz, Wolfgang; Goeggelmann, Klaus; Schellhorn, Martin; … - 2000
Different stochastic simulation methods are used in order to check the robustness of the outcome of policy simulations …. The application of a macroeconometric disequilibrium model of the West German economy to a fiscal policy simulation is … the simulation results have to be obtained by means of stochastic simulations. The robustness of the results is assessed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014153608
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Investment and employment adjustment after unification : some results from a macroeconometric disequilibrium model
Radowski, Daniel; Smolny, Werner; Winker, Peter - 1999
The macroeconomic development in West Germany in the aftermath of unification was characterized by a boom period in 1990/1991, a deep recession in 1992/1993 and a slow recovery since then. In East Germany, in contrast, unification induced a breakdown of production and employment followed by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443447
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Modeling German unification in a disequilibrium framework
Winker, Peter; Smolny, Werner; Radowski, Daniel - 1999
Unification fundamentally changed the terms of quantitative macroeconomic analysis for Germany. Two main areas concerned are data availability for the eastern part of Germany and structural changes within the behavioural equations after unification. Our paper presents results from the estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011443482
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Building a small macro-model for simulation : some issues
Masson, Paul R.; Rose, David E.; Selody, Jack G. - 1980
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000689895
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Macroeconomic consequences of German unification
Masson, Paul R. - 1996
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001328087
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MINIMOD: specification and simulation results
Haas, Richard D. - In: Staff papers / International Monetary Fund 33 (1986) 4, pp. 722-767
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001027066