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Causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in South Africa: evidence from a Markov-switching vector autoregressive model

Nasr, Adnen Ben; Balcilar, Mehmet; Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen; … - In: Emerging markets review 24 (2015), pp. 46-68

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538531

The causal relationship between economic policy uncertainty and stock returns in China and India : evidence from a bootstrap rolling window approach

Li, Xiao-Lin; Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Chang, … - In: Emerging markets finance & trade : a journal of the … 52 (2016) 1/3, pp. 674-689

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011562548

The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions : a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Segnon, Mawuli - 2016

This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MS-VAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554324

Causality between US economic policy and equity market uncertainties : evidence from linear and nonlinear tests

Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen; Aye, Goodness C.; Balcilar, Mehmet; … - In: Journal of applied economics 18 (2015) 2, pp. 225-246

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554957

The impact of US policy uncertainty on the monetary effectiveness in the Euro area

Balcilar, Mehmet; Demirer, Rıza; Gupta, Rangan; Van … - In: Journal of policy modeling : JPMOD ; a social science … 39 (2017) 6, pp. 1052-1064

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792967

The role of news-based uncertainty indices in predicting oil markets : a hybrid nonparametric quantile causality method

Balcilar, Mehmet; Bekiros, Stelios; Gupta, Rangan - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 53 (2017) 3, pp. 879-889

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011892898

On the nonlinear causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in the G3 countries

Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin; Cakan, Esin - In: Journal of applied economics 14 (2011) 2, pp. 269-296

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009538217

Asymmetric and time-varying causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in G-7 countries

Balcilar, Mehmet; Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin - In: Scottish journal of political economy : the journal of … 60 (2013) 1, pp. 1-42

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009747313

Housing price uncertainty and housing prices in the UK in a time-varying environment

Balcilar, Mehmet; Uzuner, Gizem; Bekun, Festus Victor; … - In: Empirica : journal of european economics 50 (2023) 2, pp. 523-549

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014251826

Housing sector and economic policy uncertainty : a GMM panel VAR approach

Balcilar, Mehmet; Roubaud, David; Uzuner, Gizem; Wohar, … - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 76 (2021), pp. 114-126

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175755