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to college households in terms of welfare. Chapter 2 disentangles the effect of demographic change on returns to risk …. Chapter 3 develops a method for computing transitional dynamics in heterogeneous agent models with aggregate risk if these …
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We develop a new monthly panel survey of business executives and a new question design that elicits subjective probability distributions over own-firm outcomes at a one-year lookahead horizon. Our Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) began in 2014 and now covers 1,500 firms drawn from all 50...
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productivity and aggregate business cycle risk. We show analytically that the whole welfare benefit from joint insurance against … both risks is greater than the sum of benefits from insurance against the isolated risk components. One reason is the … convexity of the welfare gain in total risk. The other reason is a direct risk interaction which amplifies the utility losses …
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in closed form and show that joint presence of both risks leads to over-proportional risk exposure for households. This …
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facing uninsurable idiosyncratic labor income risk. The Ramsey government internalizes the general equilibrium effects of … exhibits an optimal aggregate saving rate that is independent of income risk, whereas the optimal time-invariant tax on capital … implementing this saving rate is increasing in income risk. The optimal saving rate is constant along the transition and its sign …
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