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We investigate the role played by systematic monetary policy in tackling the real effects of uncertainty shocks in U.S. recessions and expansions. We model key indicators of the business cycle with a nonlinear VAR that allows for different dynamics in busts and booms. Uncertainty shocks are...
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We propose a new non-recursive identification scheme for uncertainty shocks, which exploits breaks in the unconditional volatility of macroeconomic variables. Such identification approach allows us to simultaneously address two major questions in the empirical literature on uncertainty: (i) Does...
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an uncertainty shock. We find a significantly stronger response of real activity in recessions. Counterfactual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824829
an uncertainty shock. We find a significantly stronger response of real activity in recessions. Counterfactual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825689
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496382
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533683
an uncertainty shock. We find a significantly stronger response of real activity in recessions. Counterfactual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263375