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Results of stochastic simulation experiments are described in this paper. The model experimented with is a large scale macroeconometric model, developed at the University of Bonn for the German economy (Model 5).
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560120
Simulation estimators, such as indirect inference or simulated maximum likelihood, are successfully employed for estimating stochastic differential equations. They adjust for the bias (inconsistency) caused by discretization of the underlying stochastic process, which is in continuous time. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560131
The importance of the simulation (both deterministic and stochastic) in the validation process of a non linear econometric model is underlined. Synthetic results of a large set of simulations on a non linear model of the Italian economy are presented. The benefits and the risks of the stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008562600
Statistical distribution of Journal Impact Factor (JIF) is characteristically asymmetric and non-mesokurtic. Even the distribution of log10(JIF) exhibits conspicuous skewness and non-mesokurticity. In this paper we estimate the parameters of Johnson SU distribution fitting to the log10(JIF) data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008562615
The problem of deriving asymptotic statistical properties of impact multipliers from a consistent estimate of a structural non-linear econometric model is discussed. The theoretical aspects, which generalize the results derived by Goldberger, Nagar and Odeh for linear models, are analyzed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565107
The estimator of the coefficient covariance matrix proposed in White (1982) can be used to robustify the classical Wald test. Sampling experiments recently performed on linear regressions and simultaneous equation models, however, suggest that such an estimator tends to underestimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565126
Through Monte Carlo experiments, this paper compares the performances of different gradient optimization algorithms, when performing full information maximum likelihood (FIML) estimation of econometric models. Different matrices are used (Hessian, outer products matrix, GLS-type matrix, as well...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565138
In econometric models specified as systems of simultaneous equations, forecast errors can be regarded as random variables whose variances can be investigated, analyzed and estimated. This book summarizes results available in the literature for linear and nonlinear econometric models, when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008526968
After the notification of the University Grants Commission (Minimum Qualifications for Appointment of Teachers and other Academic Staff in Universities and Colleges and Measures for the Maintenance of Standards in Higher Education) Regulations, 2009 on September 23rd 2009, publication of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531720
Experiments of stochastic simulation on a macro model of the Italian economy; this paper describes the first results produced by the research team.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008532165