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This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by Clarida and Gali (1994) is used. Within this model, three structural shocks drive the dynamics of the endogenous variables: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and...
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aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm … explanatory variable for the inflation rate. Further, the skewness measure also helps to explain shifts in the Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260622
aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm … explanatory variable for the inflation rate. Further, the skewness measure also helps to explain shifts in the Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476471
Based on a panel of German professional forecasts for 1970 to 2003 we find that growth and inflation forecasts are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260675
output and inflation across a population of firms is studied. The only form of heterogeneity is confined to the probability … of output and inflation depend crucially on the proportion of firms that are allowed to change their prices. We test this …-cyclical correlation between the skewness of inflation and aggregates, but the relation with output is less sure. Our results can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271147
. The consequences of using real-time data for inflation forecasts, the dynamic interaction of output gaps and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295638
experts? inflation expectations, we find that the model adequately captures the dynamics of household inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295782
markets and inflation is analyzed. The results of Granger-causality tests reveal that stock market has no predictive power … volatility for inflation uncertainty, et vice versa. Regarding the subsequent volatility of short-term and of long-term interest … rate. In contrast, inflation uncertainty provides some information. The hypothesis of a causality running from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275547