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We estimate the marginal effects of identified components of global liquidity on 43 real economies. To this end, we employ global public and private credit components of Herwartz, Ochsner, and Rohloff (2021) in factor-augmented vector-autoregressions to trace credit shocks through the real...
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This paper investigates if the euro's effect on euro-area trade differs across trade sectors and across country pairs …, and to what degree heterogeneity matters for estimating the aggregate euro effect. Time-varying latent variables, which …, aggregate exports within the euro area increase between 2000 and 2002 by 15 to 25 percent compared with aggregate exports …
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We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The...
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In banking the default behavior of the counterpart is of interest not only for the pricing of transactions under credit risk but also for the assessment of portfolio credit risk. We develop a test against the hypothesis that default intensities are constant over time within a homogeneous group...
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