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Competing approaches to forecasting elections: economic models, opinion polling and prediction markets

Leigh, Andrew; Wolfers, Justin - 2006

We review the efficacy of three approaches to forecasting elections: econometric models that project outcomes on the basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267283

Forecasting and policy analysis with a dynamic CGE model of Australia

Dixon, Peter B.; Rimmer, Maureen T. - 1998

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Generating detailed commodity forecasts from a computable general equilibrium model

Adams, Philip D. - In: International journal of forecasting 13 (1997) 2, pp. 223-236

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Quantifying "Dog Days"

Dixon, Janine M.; Dixon, Peter B.; Giesecke, James A. D.; … - In: Economic papers : a journal of applied economics and policy 33 (2014) 3, pp. 203-219

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Dynamic general equilibrium modelling for forecasting and policy : a practical guide and documentation of MONASH

Rimmer, Maureen T. - 2002 - 1. ed.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001699125

Forecasting and policy analysis with a dynamic CGE model of Australia

Dixon, Peter B.; Parmenter, Brian R.; Rimmer, Maureen T. - In: Using dynamic general equilibrium models for policy analysis, (pp. 363-405). 2000

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Dynamic general equilibrium modelling for forecasting and policy : a practical guide and documentation of MONASH

Dixon, Peter B. (ed.); Rimmer, Maureen T. (ed.) - 2002 - 1st ed.

The Contributions to Economic Analysis series consists of a number of previously unpublished studies. The term economic analysis is used because it covers the activities of the theoretical economist and the research worker

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009633078

The MONASH style of computable general equilibrium modeling : a framework for practical policy analysis

Dixon, Peter B.; Koopman, Robert Bernard; Rimmer, Maureen T. - 2013

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Competing approaches to forecasting elections : economic models, opinion polling and prediction markets

Leigh, Andrew (contributor); Wolfers, Justin (contributor) - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003334619

Competing approaches to forecasting elections : economic models, opinion polling and prediction markets

Leigh, Andrew; Wolfers, Justin - In: The economic record : er 82 (2006), pp. 325-340

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003363328