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A striking implication of the replacement of adaptive expectations by Rational Expectations was the "Lucas Critique," which showed that expectation parameters, and endogenous variable dynamics, depend on policy parameters. We consider this issue from the vantage point of a bounded rationality,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005635099
Cooperation problems are at the heart of many everyday situations. In this paper, we propose a very simple and light-handed mechanism to sustain cooperation and test its performance in a rich laboratory environment. The mechanism moderates cooperation by controlling experiences, more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281841
Cooperation problems are at the heart of many everyday situations. In this paper, we propose a very simple and light-handed mechanism to sustain cooperation and test its performance in a rich laboratory environment. The mechanism moderates cooperation by controlling experiences, more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009007141
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012886341
This chapter provides a survey of the recent work on learning in the context of macroeconomics. Learning has several … roles. First, it provides a boundedly rational model of how rational expectations can be achieved. Secondly, learning acts … as a selection device in models with multiple REE (rational expectations equilibria). Third, the learning dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024243
Incorporating adaptive learning into macroeconomics requires assumptions about how agents incorporate their forecasts … into their decision-making. We develop a theory of bounded rationality that we call finite-horizon learning. This approach … generalizes the two existing benchmarks in the literature: Euler-equation learning, which assumes that consumption decisions are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010676184
This paper addresses the output-price volatility puzzle by studying the interaction of optimal monetary policy and agents' beliefs. We assume that agents choose their information acquisition rate by minimizing a loss function that depends on expected forecast errors and information costs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593745
This paper develops an adaptive learning formulation of an extension to the Ball, Mankiw and Reis (2005) sticky …'s preferences for price vs. output stability, the learning process can converge to a new equilibrium in which both output and price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196104
A striking implication of the replacement of adaptive expectations by Rational Expectations was the "Lucas Critique," which showed that expectation parameters, and endogenous variable dynamics, depend on policy parameters. We consider this issue from the vantage point of bounded rationality,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014119224
This paper addresses the output-price volatility puzzle by studying the interaction of optimal monetary policy and agents' beliefs. We assume that agents choose their information acquisition rate by minimizing a loss function that depends on expected forecast errors and information costs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014223070