Leeper, Eric M.; Walker, Todd B.; Yang, Shu-Chun S. - 2011
biased estimates of output multipliers for taxes; biases are quantitatively important when two canonical theoretical models … and treasury bonds embeds news about future taxes in bond yield spreads. Including that measure of tax news in identified … VARs produces substantially different inferences about the macroeconomic impacts of anticipated taxes"--National Bureau of …