In this paper, we introduce a new class of bivariate threshold VAR cointegration models. In the models, outside a compact region, the processes are cointegrated, while in the compact region, we allow different kinds of possibilities. We show that the bivariate processes form a 1/2-null recurrent...

In this paper, we propose three new predictive models: the multi-step nonparametric predictive regression model and the multi-step additive predictive regression model, in which the predictive variables are locally stationary time series; and the multi-step time-varying coefficient predictive...

This paper considers a nonlinear time series model associated with both nonstationarity and endogeneity. The proposed model is then estimated by a nonparametric series method. An asymptotic theory is established in both point-wise and the space metric sense for the estimator. The Monte Carlo...

This paper develops a method for forecasting a nonstationary time series, such as GDP, using a set of high-dimensional panel data as predictors. To this end, we use what is known as a factor augmented regression [FAR] model that contains a small number of estimated factors as predictors; the...

This paper proposes a simple and improved nonparametric unit-root test. An asymptotic distribution of the proposed test is established. Finite sample comparisons with an existing nonparametric test are discussed. Some issues about possible extensions are outlined

In this paper, expansions of functionals of Lévy processes are established under some Hilbert spaces and their orthogonal bases. From practical standpoint, both time-homogeneous and time-inhomogeneous functionals of Lévy processes are considered. Several expansions and rates of convergence are...

In this paper, we consider some identification, estimation and specification problems in a class of semi-linear time series models. Existing studies for the stationary time series case have been reviewed and discussed. We also establish some new studies for the integrated nonstationary time...

This paper considers a general model specification between a parametric co-integrating model and a nonparametric co-integrating model in a multivariate regression model, which involves a univariate integrated time series regressor and a vector of stationary time series regressors. A new and...

This paper proposes a new mutual independence test for a large number of high dimensional random vectors. The test statistic is based on the characteristic function of the empirical spectral distribution of the sample covariance matrix. The asymptotic distributions of the test statistic under...

We reconsider the replication problem for contingent claims in a complete market under a general framework. Since there are various limitations in the Black-Scholes pricing formula, we propose a new method to obtain an explicit self-financing trading strategy expression for replications of...