This paper formalizes the process of updating the nowcast and forecast on output and inʿation as new releases of data become available. The marginal contribution of a particular release for the value of the signal and its precision is evaluated by computing "news" on the basis of an evolving...

This paper describes how we constructed a real-time database for the euro area covering more than 200 series regularly published in the European Central Bank Monthly Bulletin, as made available ahead of publication to the Governing Council members before their first meeting of the month. We...

This paper describes how we constructed a real-time database for the euro area covering more than 200 series regularly published in the European Central Bank (ECB) Monthly Bulletin, as made available ahead of publication to the Governing Council members before their first meeting of the month....