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This paper examines the predictive power of time-varying risk aversion over payoffs to the carry trade strategy via the … daily carry trade returns tracked by the Deutsche Bank G10 Currency Future Harvest Total Return Index. The predictive power … extreme fluctuations in carry trade returns. While large crashes in carry trade returns are associated with significant rises …
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volatility índices (namely the originally created RTSVX and the new RVI that has replaced it), using daily data over the period …
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