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the principal topics of macroeconomics - namely, growth, inflation, and unemployment. The author re-examines their salient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012675489
In addition to its micro analysis, this paper also asks whether faster productivity growth reduces inflation, raises …A basic tenet of economic science is that productivity growth is the source of growth in real income per capita. But … our results raise doubts by creating a direct link between macro productivity growth and the micro evolution of the income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466829
, this paper also asks whether faster productivity growth reduces inflation, raises nominal wage growth, or raises profits …. We find that an acceleration or deceleration of the productivity growth trend alters the inflation rate by at least one …A basic tenet of economic science is that productivity growth is the source of growth in real income per capita. But …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228746
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993407
We investigate the relation between global FX volatility and the excess returns to carry trade portfolios. We find a significantly negative return co-movement of high interest rate currencies with global volatility, whereas low interest rate currencies provide a hedge against volatility shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836150
We investigate the relation between global foreign exchange (FX) volatility risk and the cross-section of excess returns arising from popular strategies that borrow in low interest rate currencies and invest in high-interest rate currencies, so-called 'carry trades'. We find that high interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008867494
This paper suggests that exchange rates are related to economic fundamentals over medium-term horizons, such as a month or longer. We find from a large panel of individual professionals' forecasts that good exchange rate forecasts benefit from the proper understanding of fundamentals,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369493
Nowadays foreign exchange interventions occur in emerging market economies whereas empirical studies on interventions mainly refer to advanced economies. However, interventions in emerging markets are different from those in advanced economies: they occur "regularly" and central banks have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010769216
Using a large panel of individual professionals' forecasts, this paper demonstrates that good exchange rate forecasts are related to a proper understanding of fundamentals, specifically good interest rate forecasts. This relationship is robust to individual fixed effects and further controls....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011074718