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We test the performance of two ESG score-driven quantitative signals on a large, multi-national crosssection of European stock returns. In particular, we ask whether in the cross-section, the cost of equity capital is more strongly affected by the (upward) “slope” (identified as momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350000
Low probability events are overweighted in the pricing of out-of-the-money index puts and single stock calls. This behavioral bias is strongly time-varying, and is linked to equity market sentiment and higher moments of the risk-neutral density. We find that our implied volatility (IV) sentiment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583312
Low probability events are overweighted in the pricing of out-of-the-money index puts and single stock calls. We find that this behavioral bias is strongly time-varying, linked to equity market sentiment, and higher moments of the risk-neutral density. An implied volatility (IV) sentiment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011587564
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010422266
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011809314
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"This paper finds strong evidence of time-variations in the joint distribution of returns on a stock market portfolio and portfolios tracking size--and value effects. Mean returns, volatilities and correlations between these equity portfolios are found to be driven by underlying regimes that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917584
We investigate whether it is possible to find a Stochastic Discount Factor (SDF) that jointly prices the cross-section of eight U.S. portfolios of stocks, Treasuries, corporate bonds, and commodities and replicates their observed moments, and especially correlations. We use the first three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992865
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012417037
Using data on international, on-line media coverage and tone of the Brexit referendum, we test whether it is media coverage or tone to provide the largest forecasting performance improvements in the prediction of the conditional variance of weekly FTSE 100 stock returns. We find that versions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487265