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We investigate the impact of central bank intervention in the foreign exchange market on forecast heterogeneity. Market heterogeneity is based on a sample of forecasts made by a large number of commercial banks over two distinct periods for the DEM (or EUR) and the JPY against the USD. We show...
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which is a stronger predictor of not only stock returns, but also volatility. …
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whether EPU and EMU uncertainty measures incorporate critical predictability for oil market returns and volatility. Based on … predictability over the entire distribution of oil around the median, yet more importantly for volatility forecastability covers the … pattern over the distribution of oil returns and its volatility exists with respect to uncertainty predictability. …
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