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Risk aversion and the predictability of crude oil market volatility : a forecasting experiment with random forests
Demirer, Rıza; Gillas, Konstantinos Gkillas; Gupta, Rangan - In: Journal of the Operational Research Society 73 (2022) 8, pp. 1755-1767
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373057
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Oil price forecastability and economic uncertainty
Bekiros, Stelios; Gupta, Rangan; Paccagnini, Alessia - In: Economics letters 132 (2015), pp. 125-128
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431472
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Forecasting crude oil price volatility and value-at-risk : evidence from historical and recent data
Lux, Thomas; Segnon, Mawuli; Gupta, Rangan - In: Energy economics 56 (2016), pp. 117-133
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663878
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Does economic policy uncertainty predict exchange rate returns and volatility? : evidence from a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test
Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Kyei, Clement; Wohar, … - In: Open economies review 27 (2016) 2, pp. 229-250
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011591762
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Time-varying predictability of oil market movements over a century of data : The role of US financial stress
Gupta, Rangan; Kanda, Patrick; Tiwari, Aviral Kumar; … - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 50 (2019), pp. 1-11
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012201357
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Does country risks predict stock returns and volatility? : evidence from a nonparametric approach
Suleman, Tahir; Gupta, Rangan; Balcilar, Mehmet - In: Research in international business and finance 42 (2017), pp. 1173-1195
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760918
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Do terror attacks predict gold returns? : evidence from a quantile-predictive-regression approach
Gupta, Rangan; Majumdar, Anandamayee; Pierdzioch, Christian - In: The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal … 65 (2017), pp. 276-284
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792493
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Forecasting the Conditional Distribution of Realized Volatility of Oil Price Returns : The Role of Skewness Over 1859 to 2023
Gupta, Rangan; Ji, Qiang; Pierdzioch, Christian; … - 2023
We examine the predictive value of expected skewness of oil returns for the realized volatility using monthly data from 1859:11 to 2023:04. We utilize a quantile predictive regression model, which is able to accommodate nonlinearity and structural breaks. In-sample results show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353168
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Predictability of economic slowdowns in advanced countries over eight centuries : the role of climate risks
Gupta, Rangan; Nel, Jacobus; Salisu, Afees A.; Ji, Qiang - In: Finance research letters 54 (2023), pp. 1-5
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472761
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Stock market bubbles and the realized volatility of oil price returns
Gupta, Rangan; Nielsen, Joshua; Pierdzioch, Christian - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014329736