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Unemployment Rate Hysteresis and the Great Recession : Exploring the Metropolitan Evidence

Canarella, Giorgio - 2020

This paper explores the mean-reverting behavior of the unemployment rate using monthly geographically disaggregated … regimes at unknown points of time. We find that the Great Recession also altered the persistence of the unemployment rate …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857002

Time-varying impact of uncertainty shocks on the US housing market

Christou, Christina; Gupta, Rangan; Nyakabawo, Wendy - In: Economics letters 180 (2019), pp. 15-20

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121736

Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs : the role of economic uncertainty

Gupta, Rangan; Ma, Jun; Risse, Marian; Wohar, Mark E. - In: Journal of macroeconomics 57 (2018), pp. 317-337

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012127992

Dynamic spillovers in the United States : stock market, housing, uncertainty, and the macroeconomy

Antonakakis, Nikolaos; André, Christophe; Gupta, Rangan - In: Southern economic journal 83 (2016) 2, pp. 609-624

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011625589

The role of economic policy uncertainty in predicting U.S. recessions : a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive approach

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Segnon, Mawuli - 2016

This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MS-VAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011554324