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On Thin Ice: CESEE Core Resilient in the Face of EU Stagnation and the Ukraine Crisis
Astrov, Vasily; Çiçek, Serkan; Dobrinsky, Rumen; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2014
exposure to the Russian market. The Baltic States and some other NMS will be those most affected on account of their trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019991
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Fasting or Feasting? Europe - Old and New - at the Crossroads
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Hanzl-Weiss, Doris; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2012
natural external environment not only through mutual trade, capital and labour flows, but also through ‘intangible links … Ukraine, even with relatively slow growth in domestic demand, foreign trade will not be in a position to support overall GDP … to the deterioration in cost competitiveness. The return of a rise in trade deficits in the Baltic countries (and some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686219
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Double-dip Recession over, yet no Boom in Sight
Astrov, Vasily; Dobrinsky, Rumen; Gligorov, Vladimir; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2013
Summary The protracted recession in the euro area will continue to be a drag on the economic growth of most CESEE countries in 2013. By and large, those countries are small open economies held hostage to the excessive fiscal austerity pursued in the euro area and the sluggish progress on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686994
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Investment to the Rescue
Astrov, Vasily; Dobrinsky, Rumen; Gligorov, Vladimir; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2014
-Ukraine conflict; in particular the interruption of energy supplies, potential trade embargoes or additional interest rate risk premia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010751986
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New Divide(s) in Europe?
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Hanzl-Weiss, Doris; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2012
The present economic crisis bears all the familiar hallmarks of the financial, debt-related and structural aspects of current account crises. All these aspects have lasting level effects and recovery can be very protracted. Export-led growth was an important feature of the recovery period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820235
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Animal Spirits still Dimmed: Slow Recovery Expected
Astrov, Vasily; Dobrinsky, Rumen; Gligorov, Vladimir; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2013
market also means its departure from the regional free trade area, the CEFTA. Estimates of trade and welfare effects point to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820236
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Where Have All the Shooting Stars Gone?
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Havlik, Peter; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2009
Europe, and deal with the changing role of the IMF in the region and the latest developments in foreign trade. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004964275
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Investment to the Rescue
Astrov, Vasily; Dobrinsky, Rumen; Gligorov, Vladimir; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2014
-Ukraine conflict; in particular the interruption of energy supplies, potential trade embargoes or additional interest rate risk premia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753909