This paper constitutes an interim report on the development of a macroeconometric disequilibrium model. Despite several caveats the model as it stands can be used already for two purposes. First, it is possible to investigate the models forecasting abilities. While the estimation period of the...

This paper deals with the importance of rationing for international trade flows. The analysis is based on a macroeconometric rationing model for the Federal Republic of Germany. Besides a theoretical treatment of various channels through which rationing occurs, an estimation of a rationing model...