We quantify the causal link between exchange rate movements and sovereign risk of 16 major emerging market economies (EMEs) by means of structural vector autoregressive models (SVARs) using data from 10/2004 through 12/2016. We apply a novel data based identification approach of the structural...

In studying the economic cycle dependency of fiscal multipliers in Chile, we implement an independent component analysis for structural shock identification within a non-linear vector autoregressive setting with generalized impulse response functions. Thereby we relax more restrictive...

We propose global and disaggregated spillover indices that allow us to assess variance and covariance spillovers, locally in time and conditionally on time-t information. Key to our approach is the vector moving average representation of the half-vectorized 'squared' multivariate GARCH process...