Brazil has about 30% of GDP from agribusiness sectors. This shows the importance of agribusiness in the country, which is also one of the largest agricultural producers in the world. Considering the linkage effects of shocks in some non-agricultural and agricultural sectors selected, this study...

Predicting the timing of currency and banking crises is likely to remain an elusive task for academics, financial market participants, and policymakers. Few foresaw the Asian crises and fewer still could have imagined their severity. However, recent events have highlighted the importance of...

This papers examines the empirical literature on currency crises and proposes a specific early warning system. This system involves monitoring the evolution of several indicators that tend to exhibit unusual behaviorin the periods preceding a crisis. When an indicator exceeds a certain threshold...