windows policy was causal for reducing crime. In a series of lab experiments we show that first impressions are indeed causal …

windows policy was causal for reducing crime. In a series of lab experiments we show that first impressions are indeed causal …

Attention to the economy plays a key role in canonical macro models, yet its empirical properties are not well … understood. We collect novel measures of attention to the economy based on open-ended survey questions. Our measures are included … attention to different aspects of the economy. Attention to the macroeconomy is characterized by large and persistent cross …

their inflation expectations, which we demonstrate with descriptive survey data and a series of experiments. Third, an …

measure beliefs about the effects of macroeconomic shocks on unemployment and inflation, providing respondents with identical …,500 US households and 1,500 experts, beliefs are widely dispersed, even about the directional effects of shocks, and there … are large differences in average beliefs between households and experts. Part of this disagreement seems to arise from …