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Fiscal policymakers are expected to conduct countercyclical policies to mitigate cyclical fluctuations of output, but the assessment of cyclical conditions in real time is subject to considerable uncertainty. They face two types of risk: (i) launching discretionary measures to support or dampen...
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. The commonly accepted reasons are political economy and uncertainty. In the EU, the pro-cyclical nature of discretionary … scope for stabilising output. Using panel data covering close to 50 EU and non-EU countries, we provide evidence that the …
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The cyclically adjusted budget balance (CAB) plays a key role in the EU fiscal surveillance framework. It started off … partly met. The everyday practice of the EU fi scal surveillance rapidly revealed a number of caveats of the CAB which, at … fortunes of the CAB in the EU fiscal surveillance framework. It portrays its main shortcomings and the way they are dealt with …
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