There are many econometric methods for forecasting by different economic variables in the future. recently, the procedures of dynamic forecasting either for univariate or multivariate models were available for estimation on the software packages, i.e., EVIEWS, SAS, and SHAZAM. The research...

We explore the efficiency of the forward Reichsmark market in Vienna between 1876 and 1914. We estimate ARIMA models of the spot exchange rate in order to forecast the one-month-ahead spot rate. In turn we compare these forecasts to the contemporaneous forward rate, i.e., the market's forecast...