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We examine whether earnings forecasts of sell-side equity analysts are influenced by the forecasts of other analysts on other firms in the analyst portfolio. We find that analysts exhibit “social learning” where analyst optimism is negatively correlated with the recent forecast errors among...
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This paper examines how gambling-motivated trading affects aggregate financial market outcomes. Using a unique global gambling data set covering 39 countries, we show that the dollar volume of stock market gambling is at least 3.5 times the combined volume of “traditional” gambling outlets...
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We show that geographical variation in the level of investor sophistication influences local asset prices. Investors in less sophisticated regions exhibit stronger trading correlations, and correspondingly, the returns of firms headquartered in less sophisticated areas are more strongly...
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This study shows that shifts in political climate influence stock prices. As the party in power changes, there are systematic changes in the industry-level composition of investor portfolios, which weaken arbitrage forces and generate predictable patterns in industry returns. A trading strategy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007843
We show that the personal traits of analysts, as revealed by their political donations, influence their forecasting behavior and stock prices. Analysts who contribute primarily to the Republican Party adopt a more conservative forecasting style. Their earnings forecast revisions are less likely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008791
We show that name-induced stereotypes affect the investment choices of U.S. mutual fund investors. Managers with foreign-sounding names have about 10% lower annual fund flows and this effect is stronger among funds with investor clienteles more likely to be suspicious of foreigners. Foreign-name...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037533
This paper examines whether politically active individuals are more likely to participate in the stock market. Our key conjecture is that politically involved individuals follow political news more actively, which increases their chances of being exposed to financial news. Consequently, their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940501
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