We propose an estimation method of the new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) based on a univariate noncausal autoregressive model for the inflation rate. By construction, our approach avoids a number of problems related to the GMM estimation of the NKPC. We estimate the hybrid NKPC with quarterly...

In this paper, we propose a simulation-based method for computing point and density forecasts for univariate noncausal and non-Gaussian autoregressive processes. Numerical methods are needed to forecast such time series because the prediction problem is generally nonlinear and no analytic...

This work wants to describe the different positions that adopted revolutionary organizations linked to Peronism when faced with the implementation of the economic policies by the peronist governements from 1973-1976. the analysis is focused mainly on the visions by Montoneros/ FAR, by Fuerzas...

The IMF had a coercitive and disciplining role in different eras of Argentina`s economic history. This role became more evident when facing governements that were not so fond of implementing the reforms suggested by the international financial institution but that at the same time strongly...

As it also happened in many Latin American countries during the 60s and 70s, inflation became one of the main economic problems in the Brazilian economy. The acceleration of prices and hyperinflation coexisted not only with periods of economic expansion (1956-1979), but also with huge...