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(unit roots in levels together with fat tails in returns and volatility clustering). Our time series analysis of simulated …
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form the best linear forecasts for future volatility we find that the behavioral model generates sensible forecasts that …
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price volatility, and compares their forecasting performance to the standard GARCH, fractionally integrated GARCH (FIGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011296114
Nonlinear, non-Gaussian state space models have found wide applications in many areas. Since such models usually do not allow for an analytical representation of their likelihood function, sequential Monte Carlo or particle filter methods are mostly applied to estimate their parameters. Since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011891373
(unit roots in levels together with fat tails in returns and volatility clustering). Our time series analysis of simulated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001739289
We investigate the predictability of both volatility and volume for a large sample of Japanese stocks. The particular … practically always improves upon the nai͏̈ve forecast provided by historical volatility. As a somewhat surprising result, we also …, volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002090155
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