A time homogeneous, purely discontinuous, parsimonous Markov martingale model is proposed for the risk neutral dynamics of equity forward prices. Transition probabilities are in the variance gamma class with spot dependent parameters. Markov chain approximations give access to option prices. The...

The risk conscious investor is defined as the maximizer of a conservative valuation or dynamically a nonlinear expectation. Both the static and dynamic problems are addressed using distortions of tail probabilities or distortions of tail measures. The multivariate static problem is solved in the...

Risk premia are related to price probability ratios or for continuous time pure jump processes the ratios of jump arrival rates under the pricing and physical measures. The variance gamma model is employed to synthesize densities with risk premia seen as the ratio of the three parameters. The...

The use of internal Bank models for meeting capital requirements has been approved for some time. Regulators then face issues of model approval necessitating some public domain analysis of model performance. This paper presents a new approach to risk model evaluation using forward looking risk...