This paper examines both intertemporal and contemporaneous relationship between excess US Treasury futures returns and realized moments - realized volatility, realized skewness and realized kurtosis using high-frequency data. We find realized skewness to have significant negative effect on...

This paper studies predictability of realized volatility of U.S. Treasury futures using high-frequency data for 2-year, 5-year, 10-year and 30-year tenors from 2006 to 2017. We extend heterogeneous autoregressive model by Corsi (2009) by higher-order realized moments and allow all model...

Understanding of volatility term structure is highly relevant both for market agents and policymakers. As traditional methodologies often bring results contradicting situation on the markets, we revisit volatility term structure modeling in univariate case. In this paper we benefit from...