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This paper presents a global model linking individual country vector error-correcting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific variables as an approximate solution to a global common factor model. This global VAR is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783809
. We discuss estimation of impulse response functions and variance decompositions in such large systems, and present …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640301
. We discuss estimation of impulse response functions and variance decompositions in such large systems, and present …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534040
This paper provides a synthesis and further development of a global modelling approach introduced in Pesaran, Schuermann andWeiner (2004), where country specific models in the form of VARX* structures are estimated relating a vector of domestic variables, xit, to their foreign counterparts, xit,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342845
observations. Our results show that the Covid-19 pandemic will lead to a significant fall in world output that is most likely long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293790
The Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach has proven to be a very useful approach to analyze interactions in the global macroeconomy and other data networks where both the cross-section and the time dimensions are large. This paper surveys the latest developments in the GVAR modeling,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354717
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oil-supply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...
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