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Climate risks and U.S. stock-market tail risk : a forecasting experiment using over a century of data

Salisu, Afees A.; Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian; … - In: International review of finance : the official journal … 23 (2023) 2, pp. 228-244

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014326299

Terror attacks and stock-market fluctuations : evidence based on a nonparametric causality-in-quantiles test for the G7 countries

Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian; … - In: The European journal of finance 24 (2018) 4/6, pp. 333-346

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012244323

Does partisan conflict predict a reduction in US stock market (realized) volatility? : evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression model

Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian; Selmi, Refk; … - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 43 (2018), pp. 87-96

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012036263

Predicting stock market movements with a time-varying consumption-aggregate wealth ratio

Chang, Tsangyao; Gupta, Rangan; Majumdar, Anandamayee; … - In: International review of economics & finance : IREF 59 (2019), pp. 458-467

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203261

Forecasting stock market volatility with macroeconomic variables in real time

Döpke, Jörg (contributor); Hartmann, Daniel (contributor); … - 2006

We compared forecasts of stock market volatility based on real-time and revised macroeconomic data. To this end, we … used a statistical, a utility-based, and an options-based criterion to evaluate volatility forecasts. Our main result is … that the statistical and economic value of volatility forecasts based on real-time data is comparable to the value of …