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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003793651
This paper presents insights on U.S. business cycle volatility since 1867 de- rived from diffusion indices. We employ a Bayesian dynamic factor model to obtain aggregate and sectoral economic activity indices. We find a remarkable increase in volatility across World War I, which is reversed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796122
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