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Whether prices are pro- or counter-cyclical represents a major difference in the predictions of models that focus on aggregate demand shocks as the primary source of business cycle fluctuations, versus those that emphasize shocks to aggregate supply. Earlier studies have interpreted their...
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Over the past twenty years, output growth in the U.S. has become noticeably less volatile. During that time, the economy has experienced two recessions, compared with four in each of the two preceding twenty year periods. Further, the loss in output during the last two recessions has been...
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This Economic Letter summarizes the papers presented at the conference "Nominal Rigidities" held in San Francisco on June 16 under the joint sponsorship of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, the National Bureau of Economic Research, and the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
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Strong productivity growth is essential for improving living standards and can have an important impact on economic … policy, yet economists are far from being experts at predicting when the trend of productivity growth might shift. In the … 1960s, productivity growth boomed, growing at an average annual rate of 2-1/2%. It weakened in the early 1970s, and for the …
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Productivity grew noticeably faster than usual in the late 1990s, while the unemployment rate fell to levels not seen …
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