Showing 1 - 10 of 47
Attention to the economy plays a key role in canonical macro models, yet its empirical properties are not well … understood. We collect novel measures of attention to the economy based on open-ended survey questions. Our measures are included … attention to different aspects of the economy. Attention to the macroeconomy is characterized by large and persistent cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014445279
We provide evidence on the dynamics, drivers, and consequences of attention to the macroeconomy using tailored panel … surveys of German firms and households. Draw-ing on novel measures of attention based on open-ended questions collected before … and during a historic shock to inflation, we document three sets of results: First, at-tention to the macroeconomy is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382474
measure beliefs about the effects of macroeconomic shocks on unemployment and inflation, providing respondents with identical …,500 US households and 1,500 experts, beliefs are widely dispersed, even about the directional effects of shocks, and there are … large differences in average beliefs between households and experts. Part of this disagreement seems to arise from selective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663050
Attention to the economy plays a key role in canonical macro models, yet its empirical properties are not well … understood. We collect novel measures of attention to the economy based on open-ended survey questions. Our measures are included … attention to different aspects of the economy. Attention to the macroeconomy is characterized by large and persistent cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447716
series of experiments. Third, an experiment varying news consumption shows that the media is an important source of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307680
representative of the US population and a sample of more than 1,000 experts, we measure beliefs about how the unemployment rate and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104048
Using a representative online panel from the US, we examine how individuals' macroeconomic expectations causally affect their personal economic prospects and their behavior. To exogenously vary respondents' expectations we provide them with different professional forecasts about the likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877783
Using a representative online panel from the US, we examine how individuals' macroeconomic expectations causally affect their personal economic prospects and their behavior. To exogenously vary respondents' expectations, we provide them with different professional forecasts about the likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011937404
Exploiting the natural experiment of the German reunification, we examine how consumers adapt to a new environment in their macroeconomic forecasting. We document that East Germans expect higher inflation and make larger forecast errors than West Germans even decades after reunification....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011937408
dispersed beliefs about past and future exchange rate realizations. Similarly, within the two samples, acquisition of exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697102