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We study the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on sell-side analysts' forecasts, and how it interact with the stock-market response to a firm's earnings news. We find that analysts tend to disagree more when faced with higher levels of EPU, and that their forecasts tend to be less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834041
We show how economic agents' limited attention can account for the time-varying link between exchange rates and economic fundamentals. We demonstrate that the higher is the attention for a certain fundamental, the higher is its predictive power in forecasting future currency movements. We proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933129
We find that periods of elevated EPU are associated with higher analyst disagreement, a decrease in forecast accuracy, and a higher degree of conservatism. We show that the decrease in forecast accuracy can be partially attributed to limited attention. A higher level of EPU attracts analysts’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356068