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My philosophical case study concerns textbook presentations of the theory of demand. Does this theory contain anything …. But then, the theory implies false factual claims. We can avoid this result by embracing the theory’s normative character … of physics by Oliver Timmer. Applying his ideas to the theory of demand reveals that the statements of this discipline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009467037
Agricultural price volatility is "bad". But where does it come from? Remedies are completely different for "endogenous" or "exogenous" fluctuations. The recent crisis seems to indicate that exogenous remedies have been applied to endogenous fluctuations.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009445748
This thesis is a collection of papers that use survey data to analyze expectations about macroeconomic variables and the way these expectations are formed. Using a new approach for modeling forecast errors in a structural way, we show that most of the individual forecasts in the Consensus survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429015
This study examines whether investor reactions are sensitive to the recent direction and/orvolatility of underlying market movements. We find dividend change announcements elicit agreater change in stock price when the nature of the news (good or bad) goes against the grain ofthe recent market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009430932
heading of bounded rationality. Central to the concept of bounded rationality is the assumption that humans’ actual behavior … deviates from the ideal of economic rationality due to at least two reasons: first, decisions are usually based on an … explaining exchange rate movements. The asset market theory of exchange rate determination implies that exchange rates are mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009433679
This paper is a deductive theoretical enquiry into the flow of effects from the geometry of price bubbles/busts, to price indices, to pricing behaviours of sellers and buyers, and back to price bubbles/busts. The intent of the analysis is to suggest analytical approaches to identify the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437953
This paper provides an adaptive learning algorithm for linear stochastic models with expectational leads in which forecasts for an arbitrary period ahead of the current state feed back into the economic system. The concept of an unbiased forecasting rule with generates rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452462
determining market clearing prices is calculated explicitly. The classical capital market line result of CAPM theory is extended …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452468
The standard overlapping generations model is extended to include retradeable paper assets (shares) of firms. Two period lived consumers hold portfolios including paper assets and capital in order to transfer wealth over time. An infinitely lived firm produces a stochastic output using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452519
This paper reports the results of experimental asset markets designed to investigate how the public disclosure of uncertain information affects market and individual outcomes. In some markets, no information is released as trading starts, and in others, an imperfect pre-announcement is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459067