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of state revenue from corporate tax and to forecast tax return from corporate income tax for the following year. Research …:• Part 1 presents the impact of state revenue on corporate income tax, econometrical forecast models proposed by scientists …
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The efficient market hypothesis states that the market incorporates all available information to provide an accurate valuation of the asset at any given time. However, most models for forecasting the return or volatility of assets completely disregard the arrival of asset specific news (i.e.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437639
This thesis consists of three essays in empirical finance and macroeconomics. The first essay proposes a new structural-break vector autoregressive model for predicting real output growth by the nominal yield curve. The model allows for the possibility of both in-sample and out-of-sample breaks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009455236
divergent information. We manipulate forecast ability so that two individuals are strong analysts and two are weak. In three …
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earnings forecast precision, accuracy, and bias (downward versusupward).Results of the study are mixed. Regarding forecast … negatively related to management earnings forecast precision. This was theexpected relationship. Regarding forecast accuracy … segments a firm discloses. Regarding forecast bias, unexpectedly, twomeasures of multinationality (foreign sales / total sales …
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parameters using well grouping, the methodology establishes a probabilistic forecast for individual wells.We present a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009465136
mit dieser Arbeit die Grundlage für eine kausale, quantitative, möglichst genaue, generalisierte und objektive Prognose …The primary object of this dissertation is building a model to forecast the number of route related passengers. This … create a new complex tool to forecast the number of route related passengers. This tool is divided into four modular parts:1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009467425
this has stimulated the interest of the research community to seek a more analytical method for TPI forecast. The purpose … models. With a mean absolute percentage error for a three-year ahead forecast at 2.9% level, the developed VEC model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009471379
Commodity price uncertainty imposes large costs on society. On the macro level, it results in sudden and unexpected shifts in current account imbalances and real GDP volatility, while on the micro level, it leads to allocation inefficiencies. Accurate price forecasts have the potential to remove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009474968