We study the behavior and interaction of systematic and idiosyncratic components of risk in a cross-section of U.K. stocks. We find no clear evidence of a trend in any component of total risk, but we document different “regimes” in the behavior of each component of total risk, in their...

The Beta coefficient theorized by the CAPM is estimated by the Market Line. By hypothesis, the Beta is stable over time but empirical studies on it volatility don't confirm this fact. One of them is related to with agent heterogeneity hypothesis. In this paper; we study this hypothesis by...

This thesis presents a novel rolling GLS-based model to improve the precision of time-varying parameter estimates in dynamic linear models. Through rigorous simulations, the rolling GLS model exhibits enhanced accuracy in scenarios with smaller sample sizes and maintains its efficacy when the...

This thesis presents a novel rolling GLS-based model to improve the precision of time-varying parameter estimates in dynamic linear models. Through rigorous simulations, the rolling GLS model exhibits enhanced accuracy in scenarios with smaller sample sizes and maintains its efficacy when the...

This paper presents a model to calculate daily returns and corresponding value changes of hedge funds. In the past, the values of hedge funds were typically available on a monthly basis. The model link daily hedge fund performance with the returns on indices selected to provide a comprehensive...

This paper proposes a straightforward Markov-switching asset allocation model, which reduces the market exposure to periods of high volatility. The main purpose of the study is to examine the performance of a regime-based asset allocation strategy under realistic assumptions, compared to a buy...

The traditional estimated return for the Markowitz mean-variance optimization has been demonstrated to seriously depart from its theoretic optimal return. We prove that this phenomenon is natural and the estimated optimal return is always $\sqrt{\gamma}$ times larger than its theoretic...

We present a new method of estimating the asset stochastic volatility and return. In doing so, we overcome some of the limitations of the existing random walk models, such as the GARCH/ARCH models.