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, insbesondere der Zeitreihenanalyse liegt. Das Konzept besteht darin, sämtliche wiederkehrenden Aufgaben mit Hilfe von Java …
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A Monte Carlo simulation was used to generate data for a comparison of five robust regression estimation methods with ordinary least squares (OLS) under 36 different outlier data configurations. Two of the robust estimators, Least Absolute Value (LAV) estimation and MM estimation, are...
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Power and effect size analysis are important methods in the psychological sciences. It is well known that classical statistical tests are not robust with respect to power and type II error. However, relatively little attention has been paid in the psychological literature to the effect that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475066
This essay considers decision-theoretic foundations for robust Bayesian statistics. We modify the approach of Ramsey, de Finetti, Savage and Anscombe and Aumann in giving axioms for a theory of robust preferences. We establish that preferences which satisfy axioms for robust preferences can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441010
Aimed at providing the anticipatory ability for the proactive traffic control systems, a new adaptive online short-term univariate traffic condition forecasting method is presented in this dissertation by assimilating knowledge from previous research. Using 15-minute traffic flow series as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009431160
The stylized fact of time-varying volatility in financial series is commonly accepted amongst scholars as well as practitioners. The GARCH model has been exceptionally successful in this area. Our approach, the minimally cross-entropic conditional density (MCECD) model, is a generalization of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009434643
Motivated by the problem of setting prediction intervals in time series analysis, we suggest two new methods for conditional distribution estimation. The first method is based on locally fitting a logistic model and is in the spirit of recent work on locally parametric techniques in density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437734
In this thesis we study three basic issues related to international black tea markets: Are black tea markets integrated? Where is the price of black tea discovered? Are there leaders and followers in black tea markets? We use two statistical techniques as engines of analysis. First, we use time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009465023