In this paper we design an econometric test for monotone comparative statics (MCS) often found in models with multiple equilibria. Our test exploits the observable implications of the MCS prediction: that the extreme (high and low) conditional quantiles of the dependent variable increase...

In situations where a sequence of forecasts is observed, a common strategy is to examine “rationality” conditional on a given loss function. We examine this from a different perspective— supposing that we have a family of loss functions indexed by unknown shape parameters, then given the...

This Report examines the monetary unification of Europe and the creation of a European Central Bank. It deals first with the macroeconomics of monetary union and highlights four issues. What monetary constitution is required to deliver price stability, and do the draft statutes of the European...