Essays in Empirical Finance: Evaluating Risk in FinancialMarketsBy Alysa V. ShcherbakovaThis dissertation is comprised of two parts, each addressing animportant type of financial risk. The first part is composed of anessay discussing Market Risk. This essay examines a causalrelationship between...

Artículo de revista ; Against the backdrop of sharp monetary policy tightening, this article studies the links between bank deposit costs and the EURIBOR. In doing so the authors employ an SVAR multivariate model that jointly includes deposit rates and volumes, fitted on monthly data covering...

Aimed at providing the anticipatory ability for the proactive traffic control systems, a new adaptive online short-term univariate traffic condition forecasting method is presented in this dissertation by assimilating knowledge from previous research. Using 15-minute traffic flow series as a...

The stylized fact of time-varying volatility in financial series is commonly accepted amongst scholars as well as practitioners. The GARCH model has been exceptionally successful in this area. Our approach, the minimally cross-entropic conditional density (MCECD) model, is a generalization of...

Motivated by the problem of setting prediction intervals in time series analysis, we suggest two new methods for conditional distribution estimation. The first method is based on locally fitting a logistic model and is in the spirit of recent work on locally parametric techniques in density...

In this thesis we study three basic issues related to international black tea markets: Are black tea markets integrated? Where is the price of black tea discovered? Are there leaders and followers in black tea markets? We use two statistical techniques as engines of analysis. First, we use time...

This paper uncovers the relationship between stock markets and exchange ratesin seven countries by employing stable aggregate currency (SAC) for the period of 1973-2004. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression, time series methods, and directedacyclic graphs are applied to the daily data on...