The banking and currency crises of the last two decades inflictedsubstantial financial, economic, and social damage on thecountries in which they originated. In this work, the efficiencyof early warning indicators for these disastrous economic eventsis evaluated. An analysis of the traditional...

This paper investigates what predicts changes in corporate governance in emerging markets. To conduct this study we utilize a unique data set from AllianceBernstein that consists of monthly firm-level corporate governance ratings for 24 emerging market countries for almost seven years. Since the...

Since the Latin American debt crisis of the early 80s, country risk analysis has accounted for a significant part of the work of research and risk management departments of banks, insurance companies, rating agencies, financial market regulators, and multinational companies. Country risk is a...

Nationalökonomien und ihre Verschuldung sind eigentlich unüberschaubar. Am Beispiel sogenannter Entwicklungs- und Schwellenländer zeigt dieses Buch, wie Regierungen und internationale Finanzinstitutionen sich dennoch tagtäglich Übersicht verschaffen: Mithilfe spezifischer...

We develop a method for measuring the amount of insurance the portfolio of government liabilities provides against scal shocks, and apply it to postwar US data. We dene scal shocks as surprises in defense spending. Our results indicate that the US federal government is partially hedged against...

La crisis de deuda soberana en la zona del euro ha aumentado el interés por los indicadores de alerta temprana. El principal objetivo de estos indicadores es anticipar la acumulación de desequilibrios fiscales para facilitar la prevención de crisis con las políticas fi scales y...

En este trabajo se determina el problema de la gestión óptima de la deuda pública en una pequeña economía abierta. El Gobierno emite un continuo de bonos de vencimiento finito sujeto a restricciones de liquidez. Hallamos que la solución puede ser descentralizada: la emisión óptima de un...