This paper examines the popularity of forex and derivatives - contracts for difference (‘CFD’) spread bets and binary options - at a time when the markets are turbulent and speculating by trading is popular. The paper provides theoretical calculations of the probability of success of trading...

This paper examines the popularity of forex and derivatives - contracts for difference (‘CFD’) spread bets and binary options - at a time when the markets are turbulent and speculating by trading is popular. The paper provides theoretical calculations of the probability of success of trading...

This paper discusses investor trading schemes for CFDs, spread betting, binary options and forex, what are effectively financial derivatives, designed for investors to speculate on market movements. It is argued that it is not possible for investors to consistently ‘beat the market’ unless...