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We estimate schedules of declining discount rates for cost benefit analysis in the UK. We highlight the importance of model selection for this task and hence for the evaluation of long-term investments, namely climate change prevention and nuclear build.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214295
In a recent paper, Newell and Pizer (2003) (N&P) build upon Weitzman (1998, 2001) and show how uncertainty about future interest rates leads to ‘certainty equivalent’ forward rates (CER) that decline with the time horizon. Such Declining Discount Rates (DDR’s) have important implications...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214300
This study exploits the data from a full-preference ranking Choice Experiment (CE) designed to investigate how respondents evaluate a set of proposed improvements in the Asopos water catchment in Greece. These improvements are following the prescriptions of the European Union Water Framework...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214232
Discussions about applied Cost Benefit Analysis are incomplete without the thorny issue of discounting emerging at some point. Indeed, since the calculation of Net Present Values (NPV), and hence the efficiency of a project or policy, hinges so crucially upon the level of the discount rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015231825
Putting a price on carbon is critical for climate change policy. Increasingly, policymakers combine multiple policy tools to achieve this, for example by complementing cap-and-trade schemes with a carbon tax, or with a feed-in tariff. Often, the motivation for doing so is to limit undesirable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440025
Conventional cost-benefit analysis incorporates the normally reasonable assumption that the policy or project under examination is marginal in the sense that it will not significantly change relative prices. In particular, it is assumed that the policy or project does not change the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440031
Recent research suggests that the long term future should be discounted with a declining discount rate. One such line of research, exemplified by Weitzman [Gamma discounting, Amer. Econ. Rev. 91 (2001) 261–271], shows that the certainty equivalent discount rate is declining when future capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440099
The introduction of mandatory controls and a trading scheme covering approximately half of all carbon dioxide emissions across Europe has triggered a debate about the impact of emissions trading on the competitiveness of European industry. Economic theory suggests that, in many sectors,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440100
This paper reviewed current discounting practice in the OECD. It found a wide variance in guidance across countries (which may or may not be justifiable by different economic conditions), and significant differences in guidance within countries. Furthermore, even when discounting guidance is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440154
Optimal control theory has been extensively used to determine the optimal harvesting policy for renewable resources such as fish stocks. In such optimisations, it is common to maximise the discounted utility of harvesting over time, employing a constant time discount rate. However, evidence from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440555