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Rationale The recent shocks to the Spanish economy, linked to both COVID-19 and rising energy prices, have had an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014000069
most of the individual forecasts in the Consensus survey data set have fairly good properties with respect to unbiasedness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429015
' forecasts showed less dispersion in the post-reform period. In respect of informational efficiency, we find evidence of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009430976
A Multivariate Discriminant Analysis is described, aimed at predicting the direction of changes in the Hong Kong tender price index by utilising the patterns of change in eight leading economic indicators. Two discriminant functions are derived which distinguish between ‘upward’,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437815
Energy forecasts are widely used by the U.S. government, politicians, think tanks,and utility companies. While short …-term forecasts were reasonably accurate, medium andlong-range forecasts have almost always been highly erroneous. In the U.S. many … energypolicy decisions are driven by Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) forecasts prepared byEnergy Information Association (EIA). This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459147
evaluations due to uncertainty in future oil prices. Conventionalprice forecasting methods used in the industry typically … underestimate the range ofuncertainty in oil and gas price forecasts. These forecasts traditionally considerpessimistic, most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009464789
addresses decision support experiments and evaluations that have used seasonal-to-interannual forecasts and observational data … with these forecasts and data in resource management; (2) climatologists, hydrologists, and social scientists on how to … (3) science and resource managers as they plan for future investments in research related to forecasts and their role in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475031
, 142) on the characteristics of financial analysts' earnings forecasts after mergers. Specifically, I predict lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475095
-rate method ever devised for early-design-stage tender price forecasts. However, the method is seldom used in practice partly … forecasts than the MJSEM and floor area models, leading to the conclusion that RMASEM may be the best model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009483259
Typical measures of goodness of construction price forecasts are the mean and standard deviation, coefficient of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009483260