Since the advent of managed floating it has come to be accepted as a stylized fact that short-run deviations from purchasing power parity are both substantial and persistent. Two explanations of these deviations have been advanced in the literature. One emphasizes the role of changes in...

Finding evidence of the theoretical relationship between exchange rate and inflation has been a difficult proposition in an exchange rate market, despite many studies in developed markets. Three recent papers employing a new research design, Theil’s Divisia index method, found that this...

This paper provides a new perspective on the expectations building mechanism in foreign exchange markets. We analyze the role of expectations regarding macroeconomic fundamentals for expected exchange rate changes. In doing so, we assess real-time survey data for 29 economies from 2002 to 2023...

The global economy has witnessed significant transformations in recent decades, marked by the emergence of new economic powers and the evolution of financial systems. Within this context, the globalization of currencies has become a crucial aspect of international economic dynamics. This paper...

This paper estimates the exchange market pressure (EMP) in four Central European countries (Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia) over the period 1993-2006. Therefore, it is one of very few studies focused on this region and the very first paper applying concurrently model-dependent as well...

This paper investigates the determinants of financial dollarization in emerging market economies, a phenomenon where domestic residents hold large shares of their portfolios in foreign currencies. In addition to common explanatory variables, this paper places an emphasis on central banks'...

The purpose of this study is to examine the potential linkages among ASEAN-5 currencies, in particular the possibility of Singapore dollar bloc during the pre- and post crisis periods by using Johansen multivariate cointegration test and Granger causality test. Significant non-stationarity, and...

The purpose of this paper is to examine the asymmetric behavior in the adjustment of exchange rate pass-through to consumer price index in Thailand. This research applies advanced threshold cointegration model proposed by Enders and Siklos (2001). Both the Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) and...

China was extremely successful in recent decades in managing external equilibrium in the short and medium term using three mechanisms to cushion the balance of payments shocks. First, it maintained a flexible rate, so could adjust to the fluctuations in trade balance and capital flows via...

There is ongoing debate in empirical research regarding the impact of exchange rate volatility on exports and economic growth. While some studies argue that exchange rate volatility positively influences these economic variables, others suggest negative or negligible effects. This study seeks to...