We investigate the role of monetary policy in stock price misalignments and explore whether central banks can attenuate excessive mispricing as suggested by the proponents of a “leaning against the wind” monetary policy. Decomposing stock prices into expected excess dividends, an equity risk...

Despite scarcity being central to economics, the scarcity of brain’s internal resources has largely been ignored. Neuroscience research increasingly points to the brain evolving as a prediction engine in response to this internal-resource scarcity. The brain meets every situation with...

This paper highlights the hidden dependence of the basic pricing equation of a multi-period consumption-based asset pricing model on price and payoff autocorrelations. We obtain the approximations of the basic pricing equation that describe the mean price “to-day,” mean payoff...

Despite scarcity being central to economics, the scarcity of brain’s internal resources has largely been ignored. Neuroscience research increasingly points to the brain evolving as a prediction engine in response to this internal-resource scarcity. The brain meets every situation with...

We consider economic obstacles that limit the reliability and accuracy of value-at-risk (VaR). Investors who manage large market transactions should take into account the impact of the randomness of large trade volumes on predictions of price probability and VaR assessments. We introduce...

The momentum effect is postulated to be a consequence of the disposition effect, which in turn, is a result of the interplay between the typically dominant diminishing sensitivity feature of prospect theory and the loss aversion feature. However, studies have shown that older individuals can...

I propose an S-shaped utility function of consumption which, combined with an heterogeneous agents and external habit setting, fits well the first order moments of the American financial and macroeconomic time series relevant for the equity premium puzzle in the second half of XX century. The...

We consider the randomness of market trade as the origin of price and return stochasticity. We look at time series of trade values and volumes as random variables during the averaging interval Δ and describe the dependences of market-based volatilities of price and return on the volatilities...