We introduce a dynamical model describing the interaction between a three-sectors real economy and a financial market with four assets. Investors and financial mediators have heterogeneous beliefs. The model may be used to investigate interdependence within economic fluctuations and assets...

In this paper, I numerically simulate the path of economy in an economic depression. It is not easy to perform a numerical simulation of the path to a steady state if households are assumed to behave by generating rational expectations. It is much easier, however, if households are assumed to...

We fully characterize the transition to sustained growth of resource-constrained economies using a model of industrialization that reproduces key stylized facts of resource use and prices. Natural scarcity, endogenous demography and innovations generate different growth regimes: knowledge-based...

The current debate on financial inclusion pays little attention to whether financial inclusion is pro-cyclical with the fluctuating business cycle. This article investigates the relationship between financial inclusion and the business cycle. The findings reveal that the level of savings and the...

We analyse the time evolution of the empirical cross-sectional distribution of firms profit and growth rates. In particular, we analyse the conditional properties of the empirical distributions depending on the size of the firms and business cycle phase. In order to do so, we employ the Laplace...

The argument made in this manuscript is that the two traditional macroeconomic tools, fiscal policy and monetary policy, are insufficient to bring back efficiently into equilibrium an economy that has had a major crisis. Both traditional macro-tools only work through the demand side, and there...

This paper presents a comparison of econometric models used for economic forecasting, focusing on Madagascar’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The models analyzed include OLS, ARIMA, ARIMAX and VAR, each with its advantages and limitations. The OLS model is selected for its robust performance...

Suburbanization in the U.S. between 1910 and 1970 was concurrent with the rapid diffusion of the automobile. A circular city model is developed in order to access quantitatively the contribution of automobiles and rising incomes to suburbanization. The model incorporates a number of driving...