In this paper, Statistical Activity Cost Analysis (SACA) is used to identify the interaction of mutually dependent physical and financial aspects of a fixed asset-like system configuration. The novelty of the approach is, having established a rational description of the uncertainty inherent in...

An important issue in fitting stochastic models to electricity spot prices is the estimation of a component to deal with trends and seasonality in the data. Unfortunately, estimation routines for the long-term and short-term seasonal pattern are usually quite sensitive to extreme observations,...

We investigate the effects of outlier treatment on the estimation of the seasonal component and stochastic models in electricity markets. Typically, electricity spot prices exhibit features like seasonality, mean-reverting behavior, extreme volatility and the occurrence of jumps and spikes....